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Red135
442254.9
828023.4
413044.7
Blue143
29745.5
862B24.5
50345.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331120200300400500135143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#11
54.90.3
54.855.0
Auto12.0
Teleop32.4
End9.4
red by 9.3
297
#12
45.50.8
42.843.6
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End8.0
Second
44.70.3
44.644.9
Auto13.0
Teleop21.8
End9.2
blue by 0.8
503
#14
45.50.8
42.743.5
Auto13.7
Teleop22.4
End9.6
Third
8280
#21
23.40.3
23.323.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.6
End6.3
blue by 1.1
862B
#24
24.50.8
21.822.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End7.1