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Red156
438154.4
6120B12.9
5165.8
Blue149
3538B33.6
657036.0
54840.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143110050200250156149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#4
65.80.6
64.865.4
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End9.3
red by 25.3
548
#19
40.50.9
39.640.5
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End5.9
Second
54.40.6
53.554.1
Auto15.5
Teleop28.6
End9.8
red by 18.4
36.00.9
35.136.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.7
End10.0
Third
12.90.6
12.012.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 20.6
33.60.9
32.633.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.7