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Red104
3538C33.5
283439.2
86236.1
Blue117
721156.0
22630.7
7211B33.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512750100150200104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#20
39.20.1
39.439.2
Auto15.0
Teleop17.4
End7.1
blue by 16.8
56.00.1
55.155.0
Auto13.4
Teleop32.3
End9.1
Second
862
#16
36.10.1
36.236.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End10.0
red by 3.0
33.10.1
32.232.1
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End6.0
Third
33.50.1
33.633.5
Auto1.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
red by 2.8
226
#22
30.70.1
29.829.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End5.0