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Red123
176849.0
8851.4
620120.0
Blue120
545920.8
872439.6
287633.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329250150200123120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
51.40.1
50.850.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.2
End7.1
red by 11.8
39.60.6
39.039.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
Second
49.00.1
48.348.1
Auto13.8
Teleop27.8
End7.3
red by 15.9
2876
#22
33.00.6
32.433.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.2
End7.6
Third
6201
#36
20.00.1
20.120.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End6.2
blue by 0.8
5459
#25
20.80.6
20.120.8
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.0