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Red131
573527.0
581342.8
13843.2
Blue101
556322.0
490533.7
5832.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12489406080100140160180131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#8
43.20.2
42.843.0
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End8.5
red by 9.4
4905
#29
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
42.80.2
42.442.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
red by 10.8
58
#11
32.00.2
32.132.0
Auto10.8
Teleop13.6
End7.6
Third
5735
#23
27.00.2
26.726.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 5.0
5563
#21
22.00.2
22.222.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End8.8