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Red126
107338.5
172924.4
115347.3
Blue72
17224.7
226229.2
9724.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122805010015020012672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.4
47.047.4
Auto11.3
Teleop27.5
End8.4
red by 18.2
2262
#10
29.20.2
29.929.7
Auto12.7
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Second
38.50.4
38.238.6
Auto13.5
Teleop17.4
End7.7
red by 13.8
172
#12
24.70.2
25.425.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
1729
#15
24.40.4
24.124.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End9.3
red by 0.2
97
#16
24.20.2
24.924.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End7.2