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Red43
454620.6
196517.8
476122.5
Blue97
545920.8
872439.6
287633.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611032040801201401601804397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#17
22.50.4
22.922.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End7.8
blue by 17.2
39.60.1
38.939.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.7
End7.5
Second
4546
#14
20.60.4
21.120.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End6.5
blue by 12.4
2876
#22
33.00.1
32.332.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.2
End7.6
Third
1965
#13
17.80.4
18.317.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.2
blue by 2.9
5459
#25
20.80.1
20.020.1
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.0