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Red70
5832.0
490533.7
556322.0
Blue60
17224.7
226229.2
9724.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988302040601201401607060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#29
33.70.6
34.433.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
red by 4.6
2262
#10
29.20.5
29.729.2
Auto12.7
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Second
58
#11
32.00.6
32.732.1
Auto10.8
Teleop13.6
End7.6
red by 7.3
172
#12
24.70.5
25.224.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
5563
#21
22.00.6
22.822.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End8.8
blue by 2.2
97
#16
24.20.5
24.724.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End7.2