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Red120
172114.8
346757.2
13353.1
Blue117
13843.2
581342.8
573527.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111880100140160180200120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.1
55.955.7
Auto16.8
Teleop31.3
End9.1
red by 14.0
138
#8
43.20.1
43.042.8
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End8.5
Second
133
#1
53.10.1
51.651.5
Auto14.5
Teleop27.5
End11.0
red by 10.3
42.80.1
42.642.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.1
End6.9
Third
1721
#40
14.80.1
13.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 12.2
5735
#23
27.00.1
26.826.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End6.9