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Red75
596213.5
8842.6
998628.0
Blue87
31939.9
999919.1
19013.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845302040601001201407587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#27
42.60.1
44.844.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.8
End7.7
red by 2.7
319
#12
39.91.6
38.640.1
Auto15.0
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
28.00.2
17.817.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End5.9
red by 8.8
9999
#24
19.12.6
14.016.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.2
Third
5962
#19
13.50.1
14.013.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End5.4
blue by 0.3
190
#6
13.81.6
11.112.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned