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Red83
287736.4
500032.9
24633.0
Blue61
872436.0
279129.8
910133.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091300501502008361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#18
36.41.3
33.732.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End4.3
red by 0.4
8724
#32
36.03.7
43.539.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End6.6
Second
246
#15
33.01.3
35.934.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End6.7
blue by 0.4
33.33.7
38.835.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End7.5
Third
5000
#23
32.91.3
32.831.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End7.1
red by 3.1
2791
#26
29.83.7
34.030.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsMissed