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Red31
999919.1
110026.6
24633.0
Blue92
998628.0
447320.7
346757.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811070501502003192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#15
33.04.1
40.035.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End6.7
blue by 24.7
57.60.7
62.962.2
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.2
Second
1100
#25
26.64.1
32.027.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.0
blue by 1.3
28.01.1
20.719.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
9999
#24
19.16.9
20.713.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.2
blue by 1.6
4473
#11
20.70.7
18.417.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed