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Red72
620119.3
242323.0
490944.0
Blue67
287736.4
115336.5
998218.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939170758085951007267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#20
44.00.9
40.940.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 7.5
1153
#29
36.51.9
39.537.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
2423
#16
23.00.9
23.522.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 13.3
2877
#18
36.41.9
36.634.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End4.3
Third
6201
#10
19.30.9
21.320.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.8
End5.9
red by 1.1
9982
#30
18.23.1
18.715.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed