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Red112
176850.1
14749.1
8842.6
Blue125
998218.2
500032.9
115336.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10780050150200112125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.1
50.050.1
Auto11.0
Teleop34.4
End3.3
red by 13.6
1153
#29
36.50.9
35.636.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
88
#27
42.60.1
42.542.6
Auto11.7
Teleop22.8
End7.7
red by 9.7
5000
#23
32.90.9
32.032.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Third
1474
#31
9.10.1
9.09.1
Auto5.3
Teleop2.6
End1.9
blue by 9.1
9982
#30
18.21.5
16.618.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.5