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Red132
872436.0
271342.3
346757.6
Blue135
490944.0
998628.0
287736.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15296050200250132135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.2
57.857.6
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End8.2
red by 13.6
4909
#20
44.00.5
41.842.4
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Second
2713
#14
42.30.2
42.442.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.0
End5.7
red by 5.9
2877
#18
36.40.5
34.234.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End4.3
Third
8724
#32
36.00.2
36.136.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End6.6
red by 8.0
28.00.9
24.325.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End5.9