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Red145
999919.1
7849.0
632853.2
Blue87
8842.6
856731.9
176850.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013302004006008001,0001,20014587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.5
50.450.9
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
red by 3.2
50.10.9
50.850.0
Auto11.0
Teleop34.4
End3.3
Second
78
#7
49.00.5
46.146.6
Auto13.4
Teleop27.0
End9.0
red by 6.4
88
#27
42.60.9
43.342.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.8
End7.7
Third
9999
#24
19.10.9
14.315.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End7.2
blue by 12.7
8567
#22
31.90.9
32.831.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9