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Red100
676326.9
669015.9
16645.6
Blue109
856735.3
216818.3
490541.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899850150100109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
45.60.0
44.244.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
red by 4.4
4905
#12
41.20.9
36.537.3
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Second
6763
#22
26.90.0
25.125.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1
blue by 8.3
8567
#17
35.30.9
34.335.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End5.9
Third
6690
#34
15.90.0
15.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.4
blue by 2.4
2168
#30
18.30.9
20.321.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned