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Red105
12630.8
320545.5
498713.1
Blue111
910138.1
715337.9
633322.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210320406080120140160180105111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.6
35.937.4
Auto10.0
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 7.3
38.10.9
32.633.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End8.8
Second
126
#26
30.81.6
27.328.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
blue by 7.1
7153
#14
37.90.9
35.336.2
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Third
4987
#33
13.11.6
8.29.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 9.5
6333
#13
22.60.9
24.425.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned