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Red131
320545.5
632852.8
779518.9
Blue80
173537.1
242327.5
676326.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11098608012014016013180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.82.0
46.048.0
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End8.2
red by 15.8
1735
#15
37.11.2
40.939.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
45.52.0
39.541.4
Auto10.0
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 17.9
2423
#21
27.51.2
27.726.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
Third
7795
#39
18.92.6
15.918.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
blue by 8.0
6763
#22
26.91.2
25.123.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed