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Red107
16645.6
362318.1
34819.2
Blue95
404837.8
909612.6
715337.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829320406012014016018010795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
45.61.2
45.947.1
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
red by 7.7
7153
#14
37.90.1
36.236.2
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Second
348
#19
19.21.2
15.516.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End6.6
blue by 18.6
4048
#16
37.80.1
36.035.9
Auto11.2
Teleop16.6
End10.0
Third
3623
#18
18.11.2
17.418.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End3.9
red by 5.5
9096
#38
12.60.1
14.013.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed