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Red149
237043.1
676326.9
175754.4
Blue146
632852.8
12630.8
176860.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125156100200149146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.5
53.253.8
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
blue by 5.8
60.10.1
60.160.1
Auto15.1
Teleop35.6
End9.2
Second
43.10.5
41.942.4
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
blue by 9.8
52.80.1
52.752.8
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Third
6763
#22
26.90.5
25.826.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1
blue by 3.8
126
#26
30.80.1
30.730.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2