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Red71
715337.9
19025.3
71638.8
Blue157
175754.4
676326.9
237043.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108134608010012016018020071157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#9
38.80.7
39.538.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.9
End7.7
blue by 15.6
54.40.4
53.854.2
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
7153
#14
37.90.7
38.737.9
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.9
blue by 5.1
43.10.4
42.442.9
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
Third
190
#36
25.30.7
26.125.3
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End5.0
blue by 1.6
6763
#22
26.90.4
26.326.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1