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Red145
237043.1
676326.9
175754.4
Blue116
242327.5
632435.6
173537.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241076080100140160180145116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.6
51.652.2
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 17.3
1735
#15
37.10.3
39.639.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
43.10.6
38.939.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
red by 7.5
6324
#10
35.60.3
33.934.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.3
End5.7
Third
6763
#22
26.90.6
23.924.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1
blue by 0.6
2423
#21
27.50.3
28.729.0
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2