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Red112
110040.5
17323.0
16645.6
Blue126
715337.9
19025.3
71638.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171056080140160180112126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
45.60.1
47.147.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
red by 6.8
716
#9
38.80.6
37.738.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.9
End7.7
Second
40.50.1
38.939.0
Auto11.9
Teleop23.5
End5.1
red by 2.6
7153
#14
37.90.6
36.236.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Third
173
#27
23.00.1
22.022.1
Auto9.2
Teleop7.0
End6.7
blue by 2.3
190
#36
25.30.6
25.826.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End5.0