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Red95
127728.0
15729.8
404837.8
Blue118
854433.6
910138.1
856735.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96111608012014016018095118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#16
37.80.0
35.935.9
Auto11.2
Teleop16.6
End10.0
blue by 0.3
38.10.2
36.837.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End8.8
Second
157
#20
29.80.0
29.529.5
Auto12.0
Teleop12.4
End5.4
blue by 5.5
8567
#17
35.30.2
35.535.8
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End5.9
Third
1277
#11
28.00.0
26.126.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End6.1
blue by 5.6
8544
#25
33.60.2
29.629.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End7.1