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Red131
173537.1
632435.6
242327.5
Blue122
16645.6
17323.0
110040.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061176080100140160180131122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#15
37.10.6
37.437.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
blue by 8.5
166
#6
45.60.3
45.345.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
Second
6324
#10
35.60.6
35.936.5
Auto9.6
Teleop20.3
End5.7
blue by 4.9
40.50.3
40.240.5
Auto11.9
Teleop23.5
End5.1
Third
2423
#21
27.50.6
27.828.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
red by 4.5
173
#27
23.00.3
22.723.0
Auto9.2
Teleop7.0
End6.7