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Red49
558716.4
290016.9
533824.8
Blue124
44929.7
173152.7
253721.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639220408010012014016049124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#13
24.81.4
30.429.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.0
End8.4
blue by 27.9
52.72.8
42.945.7
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
2900
#14
16.91.4
15.013.6
Auto6.9
Teleop3.1
End7.0
blue by 12.8
449
#16
29.74.3
23.527.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
5587
#23
16.41.4
17.115.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End7.6
blue by 5.4
2537
#22
21.74.3
16.220.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned