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Red20
61116.4
144615.2
58417.4
Blue59
788612.3
291421.5
482114.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484302060802059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#21
16.42.6
19.016.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End6.1
blue by 5.0
2914
#10
21.52.0
20.822.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.2
End5.7
Second
1446
#11
15.22.6
15.813.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End5.6
red by 0.4
4821
#24
14.71.9
15.917.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End4.8
Third
5841
#27
7.42.6
10.07.4
Auto3.4
Teleop0.6
End3.4
blue by 4.8
7886
#18
12.31.9
4.26.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned