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Red35
61116.4
61420.5
851412.4
Blue60
111121.4
533824.8
788612.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585730405070803560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#15
20.52.3
24.422.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 4.3
5338
#13
24.80.6
29.029.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.0
End8.4
Second
611
#21
16.42.3
16.514.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End6.1
blue by 5.0
1111
#29
21.40.6
18.819.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.7
End7.8
Third
8514
#34
12.42.3
13.411.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End2.8
red by 0.2
7886
#18
12.30.6
6.16.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsEarned