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Red72
290016.9
173152.7
58417.4
Blue115
190830.2
219942.6
83637.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511120408010012014016072115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.4
45.746.0
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 10.1
42.61.6
35.937.5
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
Second
2900
#14
16.90.5
13.614.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.1
End7.0
blue by 20.9
836
#6
37.81.6
34.035.6
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End9.8
Third
5841
#27
7.40.5
7.47.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.6
End3.4
blue by 22.8
30.21.6
28.430.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned