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Red44
463816.0
61420.5
144615.2
Blue55
253411.1
851412.4
44929.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545501001502002504455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#15
20.50.5
20.219.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 9.2
449
#16
29.70.3
28.528.7
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Second
4638
#30
16.00.5
15.615.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 3.5
8514
#34
12.40.3
12.212.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Third
1446
#11
15.20.5
15.314.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End5.6
red by 4.1
2534
#33
11.10.3
10.811.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed