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Red90
290016.9
173152.7
409932.2
Blue61
632626.5
138922.7
237716.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113640501001509061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.2
51.951.7
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 26.2
6326
#19
26.50.1
26.826.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
Second
32.20.2
31.531.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.7
End9.2
red by 9.5
1389
#12
22.70.1
23.022.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End5.8
Third
2900
#14
16.90.2
16.115.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.1
End7.0
red by 0.8
2377
#32
16.10.1
16.416.3
Auto6.2
Teleop4.4
End5.5