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Red85
409932.2
173152.7
290016.9
Blue112
219942.6
83637.8
253721.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107107809010012013014085112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.3
52.151.8
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 10.1
42.60.2
42.342.5
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
Second
32.20.3
31.631.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.7
End9.2
blue by 5.6
836
#6
37.80.2
37.537.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End9.8
Third
2900
#14
16.90.4
16.215.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.1
End7.0
blue by 4.8
2537
#22
21.70.3
21.321.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End5.7