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Red109
686327.3
44929.7
445630.7
Blue89
190830.2
554912.7
112341.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918940608010012014010989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.5
30.030.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End6.9
blue by 10.3
41.00.1
40.941.0
Auto14.6
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Second
449
#16
29.70.5
28.929.4
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
blue by 0.5
30.20.1
30.130.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
Third
6863
#17
27.30.6
26.427.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End8.2
red by 14.6
5549
#26
12.70.1
12.612.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.0