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Red100
777015.4
219946.3
907218.1
Blue45
374816.1
44933.3
379320.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857620406010012010045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.5
45.846.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.4
End7.3
red by 13.0
449
#16
33.30.8
34.133.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End6.4
Second
18.10.5
17.718.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End5.8
blue by 2.1
3793
#15
20.30.8
21.120.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End6.2
Third
7770
#24
15.40.5
14.915.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 0.8
3748
#19
16.10.8
16.916.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End4.3