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Red112
583016.1
68640.7
237728.0
Blue34
409933.8
511525.7
554914.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847920406010012011234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#9
40.70.8
37.738.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.4
red by 7.0
4099
#13
33.81.0
34.733.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End7.0
Second
2377
#12
28.00.8
25.025.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End7.1
red by 2.3
25.71.0
26.725.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Third
5830
#22
16.10.8
13.113.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
red by 1.5
5549
#23
14.61.0
15.614.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End3.0