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Red99
284929.3
533837.6
632632.5
Blue115
11634.3
141826.5
61433.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817205010015020025099115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.6
24.826.4
Auto7.6
Teleop21.9
End8.1
red by 3.3
116
#6
34.33.1
24.027.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Second
6326
#20
32.51.6
26.528.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.2
End6.7
blue by 0.8
614
#2
33.33.1
20.523.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End7.5
Third
2849
#16
29.31.6
23.224.9
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
red by 2.8
1418
#18
26.53.1
24.227.3
Auto11.9
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned