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Red60
851411.4
374821.8
511535.1
Blue95
253727.5
88834.3
554924.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58652040801006095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#13
35.10.0
29.429.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
red by 0.9
888
#8
34.32.3
25.928.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
Second
3748
#17
21.80.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 5.8
2537
#24
27.52.6
21.724.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
Third
8514
#33
11.40.0
12.412.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 13.5
5549
#15
24.92.3
12.715.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned