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Red132
777022.5
172758.0
61433.3
Blue89
83638.9
162940.8
686324.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111040608010014016018020013289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.4
57.558.0
Auto13.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 17.3
40.80.5
40.540.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End6.6
Second
614
#2
33.30.4
32.833.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End7.5
blue by 5.6
836
#11
38.90.5
38.738.2
Auto12.7
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Third
7770
#32
22.50.4
22.022.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End4.3
blue by 2.4
6863
#30
24.90.5
25.424.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.3
End6.3