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Red109
632632.5
511535.1
454133.8
Blue132
88834.3
111134.7
554924.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099650150200109132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#13
35.10.2
34.935.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
red by 0.4
34.70.7
34.034.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
4541
#26
33.80.2
33.633.8
Auto6.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
blue by 0.4
888
#8
34.30.7
33.534.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
Third
6326
#20
32.50.2
32.332.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.2
End6.7
red by 7.6
5549
#15
24.90.7
24.124.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End6.0