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Red102
777022.5
172758.0
61433.3
Blue84
454133.8
511535.1
632632.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122104608014016018010284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.2
57.557.2
Auto13.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 22.9
5115
#13
35.10.4
34.634.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
Second
614
#2
33.30.2
32.832.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End7.5
blue by 0.5
4541
#26
33.80.4
33.333.0
Auto6.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Third
7770
#32
22.50.2
21.921.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End4.3
blue by 10.0
6326
#20
32.50.4
32.031.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.2
End6.7