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Red100
374821.8
533837.6
11634.3
Blue115
88834.3
111134.7
554924.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100996080120140160100115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto7.6
Teleop21.9
End8.1
red by 2.9
34.70.3
34.534.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
116
#6
34.30.0
34.434.4
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End7.5
red by 0.1
888
#8
34.30.3
34.034.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
Third
3748
#17
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 3.1
5549
#15
24.90.3
24.624.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End6.0