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Red103
686324.9
162940.8
83638.9
Blue43
189525.4
141826.5
872621.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167605010015010343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.1
40.240.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 14.2
1418
#18
26.50.7
27.526.7
Auto11.9
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Second
836
#11
38.90.1
38.438.2
Auto12.7
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 13.6
1895
#14
25.40.7
26.325.6
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Third
6863
#30
24.90.1
25.125.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.3
End6.3
red by 3.3
8726
#12
21.60.7
22.521.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End3.4