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Red116
237727.1
253727.5
219947.3
Blue102
68639.0
284929.3
242123.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11195406080120140160180116102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.3
47.447.8
Auto16.2
Teleop22.2
End8.9
red by 8.4
686
#10
39.00.1
38.638.7
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End9.8
Second
2537
#24
27.50.3
27.627.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
blue by 1.8
2849
#16
29.30.1
28.929.1
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Third
27.10.3
27.227.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.9
End9.1
red by 3.3
2421
#19
23.80.1
23.423.6
Auto7.4
Teleop6.6
End9.8