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Red140
632632.5
511535.1
454133.8
Blue102
11634.3
533837.6
374821.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10699050150200250300350400140102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#13
35.10.7
34.335.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
blue by 2.5
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto7.6
Teleop21.9
End8.1
Second
4541
#26
33.80.7
33.033.7
Auto6.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
blue by 0.5
116
#6
34.30.0
34.434.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Third
6326
#20
32.50.7
31.632.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.2
End6.7
red by 10.7
3748
#17
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End4.5