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Red70
872621.6
141826.5
189525.4
Blue109
68639.0
284929.3
242123.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76101020406012014016070109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
26.50.2
26.726.5
Auto11.9
Teleop11.7
End2.9
blue by 12.5
686
#10
39.00.2
38.738.9
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End9.8
Second
1895
#14
25.40.2
25.625.4
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End6.5
blue by 3.9
2849
#16
29.30.2
29.129.2
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Third
8726
#12
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End3.4
blue by 2.2
2421
#19
23.80.2
23.623.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.6
End9.8