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Red123
686324.9
162940.8
83638.9
Blue107
219947.3
253727.5
237727.1
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091118090100120130140123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.4
40.140.5
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End6.6
blue by 6.6
47.30.1
47.847.8
Auto16.2
Teleop22.2
End8.9
Second
836
#11
38.90.4
38.238.7
Auto12.7
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 11.4
2537
#24
27.50.1
27.928.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
Third
6863
#30
24.90.4
25.025.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.3
End6.3
blue by 2.2
27.10.1
27.527.6
Auto9.1
Teleop8.9
End9.1