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Red100
554924.9
111134.7
88834.3
Blue95
68639.0
284929.3
242123.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989892949610010210410610095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.2
34.234.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End8.0
blue by 4.2
686
#10
39.00.1
38.939.0
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End9.8
Second
888
#8
34.30.2
33.733.5
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
red by 5.0
2849
#16
29.30.1
29.229.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Third
5549
#15
24.90.2
24.324.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End6.0
red by 1.1
2421
#19
23.80.1
23.723.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.6
End9.8