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Red144
5828.9
568754.1
632968.5
Blue150
632849.6
802333.2
271344.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16012450100150200250144150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.2
68.167.9
Auto16.7
Teleop40.3
End8.8
red by 18.9
6328
#11
49.60.6
47.648.1
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
Second
54.10.2
53.853.6
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
red by 9.9
44.30.6
42.242.8
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
58
#30
28.90.2
28.528.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.1
blue by 4.4
8023
#19
33.20.6
31.231.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End8.6