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Qual 202023 Summer Heat
Red116
13135.8
172B6.7
13369.4
Blue96
490942.8
456439.9
431126.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611470809010011012013014015011696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
69.40.5
67.4→68.0
Auto18.1
Teleop38.7
End12.3
red by 26.6
4909
#22
42.80.9
44.5→43.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
Second
131
#2
35.80.5
33.1→33.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
blue by 4.1
4564
#6
39.90.9
38.8→37.8
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
172B
#26
6.70.9
5.4→6.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.9
blue by 19.3
4311
#18
26.00.9
26.7→25.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned